10.57647/mathsci.2025.1901.02

Sushila-Poisson Distribution: A Flexible Tool for Survival and Reliability Modeling

  1. Department of Mathematics and Computer Sciences, Ma.C., Islamic Azad University, Mashhad, Iran
  2. Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa

Received: 2025-01-06

Revised: 2025-02-14

Accepted: 2025-02-28

Published in Issue 2025-03-31

How to Cite

Daghagh, S., Iranmanesh, A., Nakhaei Rad, N., & Ormoz, E. (2025). Sushila-Poisson Distribution: A Flexible Tool for Survival and Reliability Modeling. Mathematical Sciences, 19(1 (March 2025). https://doi.org/10.57647/mathsci.2025.1901.02

PDF views: 248

Abstract

This paper presents a new type of Sushila distribution that provides greater flexibility for modelling lifetime data. This model, called the Sushila-Poisson (SP) distribution, is created by combining the Sushila and Poisson distributions. The three-parameter SP distribution represents various shapes of hazard rate functions, including upside-down bathtub, bathtub-shaped, increasing, and decreasing hazard rates, which are commonly encountered in fields such as medicine, engineering, economics, and the natural sciences. Therefore, the proposed model offers great potential for applications in these areas. The new model includes several known distributions, such as the Lindley, Lindley-Poisson, and Sushila distributions, as special cases. Several statistical properties of the SP distribution have been derived in this study. Simulation studies were conducted to examine the performance of the maximum likelihood estimators, which were developed using the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm. The flexibility of the new model was further demonstrated through its application to three real data sets. 

Keywords

  • EM algorithm,
  • Maximum likelihood estimation,
  • Poisson distribution,
  • Sushila distribution

References

  1. Shanker, R., Sharma, S., Shanker, U. & Shanker, R. Sushila distribution and its application to waiting times data. International Journal of Business Management 3, 1–11 (2013).
  2. Borah, M. & Saikia, K. R. Certain properties of discrete sushila. Statistics 5 (2016).
  3. Borah, M. & Saikia, K. Zero-truncated discrete shanker distribution and its applications. Biometrics Biostatistics International Journal 5, 00152 (2017)
  4. Yamrubboon, D., Bodhisuwan, W., Pudprommarat, C. & Saothayanun, L. The negative binomial-sushila distribution with application in count data analysis. Thailand Statistician 15, 69–77 (2017).
  5. Elgarhy, M. & Shawki, A. Exponentiated sushila distribution. International Journal of Scientific Engineering and Science 1, 9–12 (2017).
  6. Shawki, A. & Elgarhy, M. Kumaraswamy sushila distribution. Int J Sci Eng Sci 1, 29–32 (2017).
  7. Rather, A. & Subramanian, C. Length biased sushila distribution. Universal Review 7, 1010–1023 (2018).
  8. Borah, M. & Hazarika, J. Poisson-sushila distribution and its applications. International Journal of Statistics & Economics 19, 37–45 (2018).
  9. Rather, A. & Subramanian, C. On weighted sushila distribution with properties and its applications. Int. J. Sci.Res. in Mathematical and Statistical Sciences Vol 6 (2019).
  10. Pudprommarat, C. Hurdle poisson–sushila distribution and its application, 98–103 (2019).
  11. de Oliveira, R. P., de Oliveira Peres, M. V., Martinez, E. Z. & Achcar, J. A. Use of a discrete sushila distribution in the analysis of right-censored lifetime data. Model Assisted Statistics and Applications 14, 255–268 (2019).
  12. Pudprommarat, C. Zero-one inflated negative binomial-sushila distribution and its application., 20–28 (2020).
  13. Adetunji, A. A. Transmuted sushila distribution and its application to lifetime data. Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Modeling 2, 1–14 (2021).
  14. Shaw, W. T. & Buckley, I. R. The alchemy of probability distributions: beyond gram-charlier expansions, and a skew-kurtotic-normal distribution from a rank transmutation map. arXiv preprint arXiv:0901.0434 (2009).
  15. Boonthiem, S., Moumeesri, A., Klongdee, W. & Ieosanurak, W. A new sushila distribution: properties and applications. European Journal of Pure and Applied Mathematics 15, 1280–1300 (2022).
  16. de Oliveira, R. P., de Oliveira Peres, M. V., Achcar, J. A. & Martinez, E. Z. A new class of bivariate sushila distributions in presence of right-censored and cure fraction. Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics 37, 55–72
  17. (2023).
  18. Aryuyuen, S., Panphut, W. & Pudprommarat, C. Bivariate sushila distribution based on copulas: Properties, simulations, and applications. Lobachevskii Journal of Mathematics 44, 4592–4609 (2023).
  19. Yamrubboon, D., Thongteeraparp, A., Bodhisuwan, W., Jampachaisri, K. & Volodin, A. Bayesian inference for the negative binomial-sushila linear model. Lobachevskii Journal of Mathematics 40, 42–54 (2019).
  20. Bodhisuwan, R., Denthet, S. & Acoose, T. Zero-truncated negative binomial weighted-lindley distribution and its application. Lobachevskii Journal of Mathematics 42, 3105–3111 (2021).
  21. Atikankul, Y., Wattanavisut, A. & Liu, S. The negative binomial-generalized lindley distribution for overdispersed data. Lobachevskii Journal of Mathematics 43, 2378–2386 (2022).
  22. Daghagh, O., Iranmanesh. Sushila-geometric distribution, properties, and applications. Statistics, Optimization and Information Computing, accepted .
  23. Gui, W., Zhang, S. & Lu, X. The lindley-poisson distribution in lifetime analysis and its properties. Hacettepe journal of mathematics and statistics 43, 1063–1077 (2014).
  24. Shaked, M. & Shanthikumar, J. G. Supermodular stochastic orders and positive dependence of random vectors. Journal of Multivariate Analysis 61, 86–101 (1997).
  25. Peng, B., Xu, Z. & Wang, M. The exponentiated lindley geometric distribution with applications. Entropy 21, 510 (2019).
  26. Arratia, R., Gordon, L. & Waterman, M. An extreme value theory for sequence matching. The annals of statistics 971–993 (1986).
  27. Pundir, S., Arora, S. & Jain, K. Bonferroni curve and the related statistical inference. Statistics & probability letters 75, 140–150 (2005).
  28. Dempster, A. P., Laird, N. M. & Rubin, D. B. Maximum likelihood from incomplete data via the em algorithm. Journal of the royal statistical society: series B (methodological) 39, 1–22 (1977).
  29. McLachlan, G. J. & Krishnan, T. The EM algorithm and extensions (John Wiley & Sons, 2007).
  30. Lai, C., Xie, M. & Murthy, D. A modified weibull distribution. IEEE Transactions on reliability 52, 33–37 (2003).
  31. Aarset, M. V. How to identify a bathtub hazard rate. IEEE transactions on reliability 36, 106–108 (1987).
  32. Bekker, A., Roux, J. & Mosteit, P. A generalization of the compound rayleigh distribution: using a bayesian method on cancer survival times. Communications in Statistics-Theory and Methods 29, 1419–1433 (2000).
  33. Stollmack, S. & Harris, C. M. Failure-rate analysis applied to recidivism data. Operations Research 22, 1192–1205
  34. (1974)